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Review article| Volume 161, 105856, January 2020

Prognostic value of simple measures of physical function and muscle strength in COPD: A systematic review

  • Daniela Massierer
    Affiliations
    School of Physical and Occupational Therapy, McGill University, 3654 Prom Sir-William-Osler, Hosmer House, Room #200, Montreal, QC, H3G 1Y5, Canada

    Translational Research in Respiratory Diseases Program, Research Institute of the McGill University Health Centre, 1001 Decarie Blvd, Block E, Montreal, QC, H4A 3J1, Canada

    Centre for Health Outcomes Research and Evaluation (CORE), Research Institute of the McGill University Health Centre, 5252 Boul. de Maisonneuve Ouest, Room # 3E.01, Montreal, QC, H4A 3S5, Canada
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  • Waleed Alsowayan
    Affiliations
    Respiratory Division, McGill University Health Center, 1001 Decarie Blvd, Montreal, QC, H4A 3J, Canada
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  • Vanessa Pereira Lima
    Affiliations
    Department of Physical Therapy, Universidade Federal dos Vales do Jequitinhonha e Mucuri-UFVJM, Campus JK, Rodovia MGT 367, Km 583, Nº 5000, Alto da Jacuba CEP: 39100-000, Diamantina, Minas Gerais, Brazil
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  • Jean Bourbeau
    Affiliations
    Respiratory Epidemiology and Clinical Research Unit (RECRU), McGill University Health Centre, 5252 Boul. de Maisonneuve Ouest, Montreal, QC, H4A 3S5, Canada

    Translational Research in Respiratory Diseases Program, Research Institute of the McGill University Health Centre, 1001 Decarie Blvd, Block E, Montreal, QC, H4A 3J1, Canada
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  • Tania Janaudis-Ferreira
    Correspondence
    Corresponding author. 3630 Promenade Sir-William-Osler, Montreal, QC, H3G 1Y5, Canada.
    Affiliations
    School of Physical and Occupational Therapy, McGill University, 3654 Prom Sir-William-Osler, Hosmer House, Room #200, Montreal, QC, H3G 1Y5, Canada

    Respiratory Epidemiology and Clinical Research Unit (RECRU), McGill University Health Centre, 5252 Boul. de Maisonneuve Ouest, Montreal, QC, H4A 3S5, Canada

    Translational Research in Respiratory Diseases Program, Research Institute of the McGill University Health Centre, 1001 Decarie Blvd, Block E, Montreal, QC, H4A 3J1, Canada

    Centre for Health Outcomes Research and Evaluation (CORE), Research Institute of the McGill University Health Centre, 5252 Boul. de Maisonneuve Ouest, Room # 3E.01, Montreal, QC, H4A 3S5, Canada
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Open ArchivePublished:December 19, 2019DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rmed.2019.105856

      Highlights

      • Physical function tests may provide prognosis information in COPD patients.
      • Few studies have studied the prognostic value of simple measures of physical function and muscle strength in relation to exacerbations, hospitalizations and mortality in individuals with COPD.
      • The studies available are of low quality.
      • More studies with better methodological quality are needed.

      Abstract

      Purpose

      There has been an increased interest in simple measures of physical function and muscle strength that can be used in all clinical settings to assess individuals with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and predict their prognosis. The main objective was to examine the prognostic value of simple measures of physical function and muscle strength in relation to exacerbation, hospitalization and mortality in individuals with COPD.

      Methods

      Medline, EMBASE, Cochrane and Web of Science were searched. We included prospective observational studies that examined the prognostic value of simple performed-based tests or self-reported measures of physical function or muscle strength in relation to exacerbation, hospitalization and mortality in individuals with COPD.

      Results

      Seven articles met the inclusion criteria. The most commonly used tests were the handgrip strength (HGS) (n = 4) and 1-min sit-to-stand (STS) (n = 2). There were considerable variations in terms of characteristics of patients included, setting of recruitment, type of tests used, duration of follow-up and outcome measures of interest. The majority of the studies were classified as having “fair” or “poor” methodological quality.

      Conclusions

      There is a limited number of studies examining the prognostic value of simple measures of physical function and muscle strength in relation to exacerbations, hospitalizations and mortality in individuals with COPD. To date, the HGS and 1-min STS tests are the most studied tests and seem to be suitable for prognosis purposes in individuals with COPD. However, more studies with better methodological quality are needed to confirm these findings.

      Keywords

      1. Background

      Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is a major cause of death worldwide and a global healthcare problem [
      • Vestbo J.
      • Hurd S.S.
      • Agustí A.G.
      • Jones P.W.
      • Vogelmeier C.
      • Anzueto A.
      • et al.
      Global strategy for the diagnosis, management, and prevention of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: GOLD executive summary.
      ]. Although the primary pathophysiology of COPD is related to the damage in the lungs, patients with COPD experience secondary non-respiratory related effects of the disease such as lower and upper limb muscle dysfunction and reduced exercise capacity which contribute to functional limitations [
      • Eisner M.D.
      • Blanc P.D.
      • Yelin E.H.
      • Sidney S.
      • Katz P.P.
      • Ackerson L.
      • et al.
      COPD as a systemic disease: impact on physical functional limitations.
      ]. These secondary effects of COPD negatively affect symptoms, are strong risk factors for disability [
      • Eisner M.D.
      • Iribarren C.
      • Blanc P.D.
      • Yelin E.H.
      • Ackerson L.
      • Byl N.
      • et al.
      Development of disability in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: beyond lung function.
      ] in these individuals and can provide relevant information about their prognosis. For example, exercise capacity and quadriceps muscle strength have been shown to be among the strongest predictors of mortality in individuals with COPD [
      • Swallow E.B.
      • Reyes D.
      • Hopkinson N.S.
      • Man W.D.
      • Porcher R.
      • Cetti E.J.
      • et al.
      Quadriceps strength predicts mortality in patients with moderate to severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
      ,
      • Celli B.R.
      Predictors of mortality in COPD.
      ] and their assessment is recommended as part of routine clinical assessment [
      • Maltais F.
      • Decramer M.
      • Casaburi R.
      • Barreiro E.
      • Burelle Y.
      • Debigaré R.
      • et al.
      An official American Thoracic Society/European Respiratory Society statement: update on limb muscle dysfunction in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
      ,
      • Holland A.E.
      • Spruit M.A.
      • Troosters T.
      • Puhan M.A.
      • Pepin V.
      • Saey D.
      • et al.
      An official European Respiratory Society/American Thoracic Society technical standard: field walking tests in chronic respiratory disease.
      ]. However, assessment of exercise capacity in the laboratory and/or field tests such as Six-Minute Walk Test (6MWT) and Incremental Shuttle Walk Test require trained staff, space and equipment which is rarely feasible in the outpatient clinics. Similarly, proper quadriceps muscle strength assessment requires expensive dynamometers and trained personnel which may not be readily available.
      In recent years, there has been an increased interest in simple measures of physical function and muscle strength that can be used in all clinical settings to assess individuals with COPD and predict their prognosis [
      • Bui K.L.
      • Nyberg A.
      • Maltais F.
      • Saey D.
      Functional tests in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, Part 1: clinical relevance and links to the international classification of functioning, disability, and health.
      ,
      • Bui K.L.
      • Nyberg A.
      • Maltais F.
      • Saey D.
      Functional tests in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, Part 2: measurement properties.
      ]. These “simpler” tests require less time for the professional and patient to conduct; some require less space; and some have potential suitability in more frail patients [
      • Johnston K.N.
      • Potter A.J.
      • Phillips A.
      Measurement properties of short lower extremity functional exercise tests in people with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: systematic review.
      ]. Many of these tests (e.g. the time up and go, sit-to-stand and grip strength tests) are already used and studied in older adults and have shown to be predictors of mortality and healthcare utilization in this population. Previous systematic reviews have described some simple functional exercise tests used in people with COPD and their psychometric properties [
      • Johnston K.N.
      • Potter A.J.
      • Phillips A.
      Measurement properties of short lower extremity functional exercise tests in people with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: systematic review.
      ,
      • Bisca G.W.
      • Morita A.A.
      • Hernandes N.A.
      • Probst V.S.
      • Pitta F.
      Simple lower limb functional tests in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a systematic review.
      ]; however, no systematic review has focused on the prognostic value of these tests with respect to important clinical outcomes such as exacerbations, healthcare utilization and mortality.
      The objective of this systematic review is to systematically review the literature on the prognostic value of simple measures of physical function and muscle strength in relation to exacerbations, hospitalizations and mortality in individuals with COPD.

      2. Methods

      2.1 Search strategy and data sources

      A librarian performed electronic literature searches in three databases (Medline (Ovid), Embase (Ovid), Cochrane Library (Wiley) and Web of Science) from inception until November 16, 2016, with no limits or language restrictions. An updated search was performed by one investigator (DM) to include articles published to December 2018. The key terms used were related to COPD, physical function measures (both performance-based tests and self-reported measures), muscle strength and hospitalization, exacerbation or mortality. The terms were searched as text words in the Title/Abstract/Keywords as well as in the Subject Headings. The specific search terms and strategy are presented in Appendix A. While performing full-text screening, one investigator (WA) conducted hand searches of the reference list of the articles.

      2.2 Inclusion criteria

      We included prospective observational studies that, as primary or secondary objective, examined the performance of simple measures of overall physical function and muscle strength in predicting exacerbations, hospitalizations and mortality in patients with COPD or that examined the relationship of these tests with these outcomes.
      We considered the term “overall physical function” according to the World Health Organization (WHO)'s International Classification of functioning, Disability and Health (ICF) definition [
      • Organization W.H.
      Towards a Common Language for Functioning, Disability, and Health: ICF, the International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health.
      ] for functioning. We included measures that addressed the following ICF constructs: 1) activities (e.g. functioning evaluated in terms of performance-based measurement focused on limitations in specific activities); 2) measurements assessing participation (involvement in everyday life situations) [
      • Organization W.H.
      Towards a Common Language for Functioning, Disability, and Health: ICF, the International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health.
      ].
      Additionally, we defined “simple” performance-based physical function measures or muscle strength if: 1) the test does not require a specialized facility; 2) it takes a relatively short time to be performed (e.g. less than 10 min); 3) it can be performed in any setting (e.g. primary care, acute and/or rehabilitation hospital); and 4) it does not require a professional with specialized expertise. We considered studies that assessed mortality using true observations of all-cause deaths. We excluded self-reported measures that covered quality of life, symptoms, general health perception, emotional and social role functioning and studies that examined the associations of demographic data, symptoms, disease severity, lung function with exacerbation, hospitalization and mortality. We also excluded cross-sectional, pre-post studies, research letters, and congress abstracts.

      2.3 Study selection and data extraction

      One investigator (WA) reviewed the study titles and abstracts and two investigators (WA and TJF) reviewed the full texts of the articles independently to determine study eligibility. These two investigators met when the full-text screening was complete to resolve any discrepancy.
      We followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines [
      • Moher D.
      • Liberati A.
      • Tetzlaff J.
      • Altman D.G.
      • Group P.
      Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses: the PRISMA statement.
      ]. The review protocol was registered in the PROSPERO database (CRD42017059358). Two reviewers (WA and DM) performed the data extraction and tabulation using a standardized form. A second reviewer (VPL) double-checked the extracted data.

      2.4 Quality assessment of the included studies

      To assess the quality of the studies we used the modified Downs and Black [
      • Downs S.H.
      • Black N.
      The feasibility of creating a checklist for the assessment of the methodological quality both of randomised and non-randomised studies of health care interventions.
      ] checklist to verify the reporting, external validity, internal validity and statistical power of the studies. The Downs and Black [
      • Downs S.H.
      • Black N.
      The feasibility of creating a checklist for the assessment of the methodological quality both of randomised and non-randomised studies of health care interventions.
      ] checklist has a total of 27 items but 6 items were considered as ‘not applicable’ because they are not relevant to non-RCTs. Therefore, the overall possible score was 22 (question 5 gives 2 points for yes). Two assessors (DM and a Research Associate) independently rated each study, and consensus discussion was used to resolve any disagreement. A third assessor (TJF) resolved any outstanding divergences.

      3. Results

      Fig. 1 shows the PRISMA flow diagram of the search with the number of papers identified, included and excluded (with reasons for exclusion). Seven studies met the inclusion criteria and their characteristics are presented in Table 1. There were considerable variations in terms of characteristics of patients included (e.g. age, stable vs on exacerbation), setting of recruitment, type of tests used, duration of follow-up and outcome measures of interest. The quality assessment of the included studies is presented in Table 2. The total scores ranged from 8 to 18 out of a possible maximum of 22 (average score was 14). No study was classified as “excellent”, three studies were classified as “good” [
      • Yohannes A.M.
      • Baldwin R.C.
      • Connolly M.J.
      Connolly, Predictors of 1-year mortality in patients discharged from hospital following acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
      ,
      • Habraken J.M.
      • van der Wal W.M.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Weersink E.J.
      • Toben F.
      • Bindels P.J.
      Health-related quality of life and functional status in end-stage COPD: a longitudinal study.
      ,
      • De Buyser S.L.
      • Petrovic M.
      • Taes Y.E.
      • Toye K.R.
      • Kaufman J.M.
      • Goemaere S.
      Physical function measurements predict mortality in ambulatory older men.
      ], two classified as “fair” [
      • Puhan M.A.
      • Siebeling L.
      • Zoller M.
      • Muggensturm P.
      • ter Riet G.
      Simple functional performance tests and mortality in COPD.
      ,
      • Yohannes A.M.
      • Baldwin R.C.
      • Connolly M.
      Mortality predictors in disabling chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in old age.
      ], and two as “poor” [
      • Martinez C.H.
      • Diaz A.A.
      • Meldrum C.A.
      • McDonald M.N.
      • Murray S.
      • Kinney G.L.
      • et al.
      COPDGene investigators. Handgrip strength in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Associations with acute exacerbations and body composition.
      ,
      • Crook S.
      • Frei A.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Puhan M.A.
      Prediction of long-term clinical outcomes using simple functional exercise performance tests in patients with COPD: a 5-year prospective cohort study.
      ].
      Fig. 1
      Fig. 1Flow diagram showing the number of records identified, screened, extracted, and included in the study.
      Table 1Characteristics and main findings of the included studies.
      Author,

      Year
      Patient and study characteristicsOriginal objectives of the studyType of TestWhich outcome of interest was included?Main findings related to the objective of our systematic review
      MortalityExacerbationHospitalization
      Yohannes et al., 2002COPD outpatients, clinically stable with no change in medication for 1 month and no hospital admission in the previous 6 weeks.

      N = 137

      Age: 60–89 (range)

      FEV1: 0.89 ± 0.3 (Liters)

      Follow up: 2.5 years
      To evaluate mortality predictors in elderly patients with COPD.MRADLYesNoNoMORTALITY:

      MRADL score found to be a predictor of mortality (OR = 0.87 (95% CI 0.80–0.97; P < 0.007).

      Lower MRADL score in those who died versus survivors (7.6 vs 14.0 (p < 0.0001))
      Yohannes et al., 2005Hospitalized AECOPD patients. Groups: Died (n = 36) versus those alive (n = 64).

      N = 100

      Age: 60–89 (range)

      FEV1: 0.81 ± 0.3 (Liters)

      Follow up: 1 year
      To examine mortality predictors in patients after AECOPDMRADLYesNoNoMORTALITY:

      On univariate logistic regression analysis, the MRADL was found to be a predictor of mortality (OR = 0.87 (95% CI 0.80–0.94); P = 0.0001).

      On multivariate logistic regression analysis MRADL was not a mortality predictor.

      MRADL score of <12 gave a sensitivity of 86%, specificity of 55%, positive predictive value of 88% and negative predictive value of 52% (in terms of mortality prediction).
      Habraken et al., 2011COPD patients in GOLD stage IV and age ≥60 years.

      Group Severity based on mean GARS scores at baseline: Low (n = 27), Intermediate (n = 25), High (n = 30).

      N = 82

      Age: 69.4 ± 6.5

      FEV1% predicted: 26 (20–28)

      Follow up: 5 years
      To examine the development of health-related quality of life and functional status over time in COPD patients.GARSYesNoNoMORTALITY:

      There was a higher probability of survival in the low-severity subgroups.

      At the 2 year follow up, patients in the high-severity subgroup had a lower probability of survival (hazard ratio 0.53, 95% CI 0.38–0.75)) compared the probability of survival of the low-severity subgroup (0.70 (95% CI 0.55–0.90))
      De Buyser et al., 2013Ambulatory older men recruited from the population register of a semirural community. The subjects self-reported chronic diseases. Comorbidity status was categorized into cardiovascular disease (n = 111), COPD (n = 28) and diabetes mellitus (n = 25).

      N = 28

      Age: 71–86 (all sample)

      FEV1% predicted: not reported

      Follow up: 184 months
      To assess and compare the predictive value of physical function measurements for all-cause mortality in older men and to evaluate the Timed Up and Go test (TUG) as a predictor in subjects with underlying comorbidity.HGS; 5STS test; TUG testYesNoNoMORTALITY:

      Results of the functional tests: 5STS (15.7 ± 4.9 s); TUG test (13.6 ± 5.3 s); Grip strength (22.1 ± 9.6 Kg).

      Mortality risk doubled for every 8 s increase in time needed to perform TUG (age-adjusted HR per 8 s increase for TUG = 2.08, 95% CI 1.70–2.54, P < 0.001).

      ANCOVA further revealed shorter survival time for subjects with COPD (P = 0.006).

      The performance on TUG had NO influence on survival time in subjects with COPD (P = 0.202).
      Puhan et al., 2013Multicentre cohort study with COPD patients from primary care in Switzerland and the Netherlands.

      N = 409

      Age: 67.3 ± 10

      FEV1% predicted: not reported

      GOLD stage II = 63.8%

      GOLD stage III = 21.8% GOLD stage IV = 14.4%

      Follow up: 2 years
      To assess the predictive performance of the 1-min sit-to-stand test (STS) and handgrip strength tests for mortality and exacerbations.1-min STS and HGS testsYesYesNoMORTALITY:

      1-min STS test was strongly associated with mortality (adjusted HR per five more repetitions of 0.58, 95% CI 0.40–0.85; p = 0.004).

      Handgrip strength test was strongly associated with mortality (HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.72–1.00; p = 0.04).

      1-min STS test alone was a stronger predictor of 2-year mortality (AUC 0.78), than Handgrip Strength (AUC 0.62).

      EXACERBATION:

      No association of the 1-min STS test or handgrip strength test with exacerbations was found.
      Crook et al., 2017COPD patients from primary care practices in Switzerland and Netherlands; 409 patients for the handgrip strength test and 371 patients for the 1-min STS test.

      N = 409

      Age: 67.3 ± 10

      FEV1% predicted: 58 (44–68)

      GOLD stages II to IV

      Follow up: 5 years
      To assess the long-term (5-year) predictive performance of the 1-min STS and handgrip strength tests for mortality, health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and exacerbations in COPD patients.1-min STS and HGS tests.YesYesNoMORTALITY:

      1-min STS test was strongly associated with long-term mortality (HR per 3 more repetitions: 0.81, 95% CI 0.65–0.86).

      Handgrip strength test was not statistically significantly associated with mortality.

      EXACERBATION:

      Neither the 1-min STS test nor handgrip strength test was associated with exacerbation.
      Martinez et al., 2017Cross sectional analysis from the COPDGene (Genetic Epidemiology of COPD Study) trial study. For the secondary objective the authors performed longitudinal analysis to verify the long-term associations of HGS with acute respiratory events.

      N = 272

      Age: 64.7 ± 8

      FEV1% predicted: 59 ± 22.5

      GOLD 1–2 = 62%

      GOLD 3–4 = 38%
      To test associations of handgrip strength test with pectoralis muscle area (PMA), subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT), imaging characteristics, and lung function in smokers with COPD, and evaluate the cross-sectional and longitudinal associations of handgrip strength test with acute respiratory events.HGS testNoYesYesEXACERBATION:

      HGS was associated with exacerbation risk. An increment of 5% in the risk of exacerbations for each 1-kg decrement in handgrip strength (risk ratio 1.05; 95% CI 1.01–1.08), and there was a similar risk during follow-up (risk ratio, 1.04; 95% CI 1.01–1.07). Mean follow-up = 2.6 years

      HOSPITALIZATION:

      An increment of 6% in the risk of hospitalization for each 1- kg decrement in handgrip strength (risk ratio 1.06; 95% CI 1.01–1.12). Risk for severe events (those requiring emergency visits or hospital admission) during follow-up.
      OR: odds ratio; HR: hazard ratio; 95% CI: 95% confidence interval; ANCOVA, analysis of covariance; AUC, area under the curve. FEV1: forced expiratory volume in 1 s; COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; AECOPD: acute exacerbation of COPD; MRADL: Manchester respiratory activities of daily living questionnaire; GOLD: Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease; GARS: Groningen Activities for Daily Living Restriction Scale; HGS: handgrip strength; 5STS: Five-repetitions Sit-to-Stand Test; TUG: timed up and go test; 1-min STS: 1-min sit-to-stand test.
      Table 2Quality assessment of the included studies.
      Yohannes (2002)Yohannes (2005)Habraken (2011)De Buyser (2013)Puhan (2013)Martinez (2017)Crook (2017)
      Reporting
      1. Hypothesis/aim/objective clearly described?1111111
      2. Main outcomes clearly described in introduction/methods?1111110
      3. Characteristics of patients included clearly described?1111110
      4. Interventions of interest clearly described?n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a
      5. Distributions of confounders in each group to be compared clearly described?*1101111
      6. Main findings clearly described?1111111
      7. Estimates of the random variability in the data for the main outcomes provided?0111111
      8. All adverse events potentially from the intervention reported?n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a
      9. Characteristics of patients lost to follow-up described?0011100
      10. Actual probability values for the main outcomes reported?1101111
      Subscore (/9)6768875
      External validity
      11. Subjects asked to participate representative of the entire population?1101100
      12. Subjects who accepted to participate representative of the entire population?0101000
      13. Staff, places, facilities where patients were treated representative of the treatment most patients receive?0011000
      Subscore (/3)1213100
      Internal validity - bias
      14. Attempt made to blind study subjects?n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a
      15. Attempt made to blind those measuring the main outcomes?n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a
      16. Any results based on “data dredging” made clear?1111110
      17. Analyses adjust for different lengths of follow-up or follow-up length the same for cases and controls?1011000
      18. Statistical tests for main outcomes appropriate?1111011
      19. Compliance with intervention reliable?0000000
      20. Main outcome measures used valid and reliable?1111111
      Subscore (/5)4344232
      Internal validity – confounding (selection bias)
      21. Subjects from both groups recruited from the same population?1110000
      22. Subjects from both groups recruited over the same time period?1111100
      23. Study subjects randomized to intervention group?n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a
      24. Randomisation concealed from patients and staff until recruitment complete and irrevocable?n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a
      25. Adequate adjustment for confounding in the analyses for main findings?1111111
      26. Losses of patient to follow-up taken into account?0111100
      Subscore (/4)3443311
      Power
      27. Study adequately powered?0110000
      Subscore (/1)0110000
      TOTAL SCORE (/22)1417161814118
      TOTAL PERCENTAGE SCORE63.6%77.3%72.7%81.8%63.6%50%36.4%
      Scoring: Yes = 1, No = 0, Unable to determinate = 0. * Partially = 1, Yes = 2 points. Not applicable (n/a).
      Downs and Black scores: excellent (90–100%), good (69–89%), fair (51–68%), and poor (50% or less).
      The included studies considered a variety of simple measures of physical function and muscle strength. Four studies included performance-based tests [
      • De Buyser S.L.
      • Petrovic M.
      • Taes Y.E.
      • Toye K.R.
      • Kaufman J.M.
      • Goemaere S.
      Physical function measurements predict mortality in ambulatory older men.
      ,
      • Puhan M.A.
      • Siebeling L.
      • Zoller M.
      • Muggensturm P.
      • ter Riet G.
      Simple functional performance tests and mortality in COPD.
      ,
      • Crook S.
      • Frei A.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Puhan M.A.
      Prediction of long-term clinical outcomes using simple functional exercise performance tests in patients with COPD: a 5-year prospective cohort study.
      ] (handgrip strength (HGS), 1-min sit-to-stand (1-min STS), 5 repetitions sit-to-stand (5STS) and Time Up and Go (TUG) tests) and three included self-reported measures [
      • Yohannes A.M.
      • Baldwin R.C.
      • Connolly M.J.
      Connolly, Predictors of 1-year mortality in patients discharged from hospital following acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
      ,
      • Habraken J.M.
      • van der Wal W.M.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Weersink E.J.
      • Toben F.
      • Bindels P.J.
      Health-related quality of life and functional status in end-stage COPD: a longitudinal study.
      ,
      • Yohannes A.M.
      • Baldwin R.C.
      • Connolly M.
      Mortality predictors in disabling chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in old age.
      ] (Manchester respiratory activities of daily living (MRADL) and Groningen activities for daily living restriction scale (GARS) questionnaires). The handgrip strength (HGS) test was the only muscle strength test that was considered in the included studies. A brief description of these tests and main findings related to each test is shown in Table 3.
      Table 3Description of the tests and main findings related to each test.
      Performance-based testsDescriptionMain findings
      1-min Sit-To-Stand test (1-min STS)The test is performed with a standard height (46 cm) chair without arm rests. The patient starts the test sitting on a chair and repeatedly stands up and sits down again during 1 min.

      The outcome is how many times patients perform this movement in 1 min.

      This test measures general lower limb strength and is a strong predictor of mortality in older adults.
      Associated with 2-year mortality. Adjusted HR = 0.58 (95% CI 0.4–0.85; P = 0.004) per 5 more STS repetitions. Lower performance on the test in patients who had died at 2 year follow up than in patients who were still alive (11.8 rises vs 19.5) (Follow up: 2 years) [
      • Yohannes A.M.
      • Baldwin R.C.
      • Connolly M.
      Mortality predictors in disabling chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in old age.
      ].

      1-min STS test showed good long-term predictive (5 years) validity for mortality (HR per 3 more repetitions: 0.81, 95% CI 0.65–0.86) [
      • Crook S.
      • Frei A.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Puhan M.A.
      Prediction of long-term clinical outcomes using simple functional exercise performance tests in patients with COPD: a 5-year prospective cohort study.
      ].

      Number of repetitions during the STS test was 18.9 ± 8.8. STS test results were lower for females compared with males (17.2 ± 7.4 vs 20.3 ± 9.5) (Follow up: 2 years) [
      • Yohannes A.M.
      • Baldwin R.C.
      • Connolly M.
      Mortality predictors in disabling chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in old age.
      ].

      1-min STS test was NOT associated with exacerbation (Follow up: 2 years) [
      • Yohannes A.M.
      • Baldwin R.C.
      • Connolly M.
      Mortality predictors in disabling chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in old age.
      ].
      Five-repetitions Sit-To-Stand test (5STS)The patient starts the test sitting and repeatedly stands up and sits down five times as quickly as he/she can.

      Outcome is time (how long it takes for the patients to perform the five repetitions).
      5STS was associated with all-cause mortality in ambulatory multimorbidity older men sample (n = 352). (HR 1.46, 95% CI 1.28–1.65, p < 0.001). Authors did not report COPD subgroup analysis (n = 28; not available data) (Follow up: 184 months) [
      • Puhan M.A.
      • Siebeling L.
      • Zoller M.
      • Muggensturm P.
      • ter Riet G.
      Simple functional performance tests and mortality in COPD.
      ].
      Timed Up and Go test (TUG)The patient starts the test sitting on chair and is asked to stand up, walk 4 m and come back and sit down again. The outcome is time (how long it takes for the patient to perform the task). This test measures mobility and balance.ANCOVA analysis further revealed shorter survival time for subjects with COPD (P = 0.006). Performance on TUG had no influence on survival time in older men with COPD (P = 0.202) (Follow up: 184 months) [
      • Puhan M.A.
      • Siebeling L.
      • Zoller M.
      • Muggensturm P.
      • ter Riet G.
      Simple functional performance tests and mortality in COPD.
      ].
      Handgrip strength test (HGS)The patient presses a dynamometer with the hand.

      It is a measure of overall body strength and a strong predictor of mortality in older adults and other clinical populations.
      HGS test was strongly associated with mortality (adjusted HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.72–1.00; P = 0.04) (Follow up: 2 years) [
      • Yohannes A.M.
      • Baldwin R.C.
      • Connolly M.
      Mortality predictors in disabling chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in old age.
      ].

      HGS test was not associated with mortality at 5-year follow up [
      • Crook S.
      • Frei A.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Puhan M.A.
      Prediction of long-term clinical outcomes using simple functional exercise performance tests in patients with COPD: a 5-year prospective cohort study.
      ].

      HGS was associated with exacerbations risk during follow-up period (Risk ratio 1.04; 95% CI 1.01–1.07) (Mean follow up: 2.6 years) [
      • Martinez C.H.
      • Diaz A.A.
      • Meldrum C.A.
      • McDonald M.N.
      • Murray S.
      • Kinney G.L.
      • et al.
      COPDGene investigators. Handgrip strength in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Associations with acute exacerbations and body composition.
      ].

      HGS test was not associated with exacerbations (Incidence ratio 1.00 95% IC 0.98–1.02) (follow up: 5 years) [
      • Crook S.
      • Frei A.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Puhan M.A.
      Prediction of long-term clinical outcomes using simple functional exercise performance tests in patients with COPD: a 5-year prospective cohort study.
      ].

      HGS was associated with hospitalization risk (Risk ratio 1.06; 95% CI 1.01–1.12) (risk for severe events) (Mean follow up: 2.6 years) [
      • Martinez C.H.
      • Diaz A.A.
      • Meldrum C.A.
      • McDonald M.N.
      • Murray S.
      • Kinney G.L.
      • et al.
      COPDGene investigators. Handgrip strength in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Associations with acute exacerbations and body composition.
      ].
      Self-reported measures
      Manchester Respiratory Activities of Daily Living questionnaire (MRADL)MRADL is a 21-item, self- reported questionnaire. It has four domains: Mobility (7 items), Kitchen activities (4 items), Domestic tasks (6 items), and Leisure activities (4 items). The MRADL is scored compositely in the range 0–21, with a score of 21 signifying no physical impairment.MRADL was a good predictor of mortality at 2.5 year follow up (OR 0.87; 95% CI 0.80–0.97; P < 0.007) (univariate logistic regression analysis). But on multivariate logistic regression analysis, this finding was not confirmed [
      • Yohannes A.M.
      • Baldwin R.C.
      • Connolly M.J.
      Connolly, Predictors of 1-year mortality in patients discharged from hospital following acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
      ].

      At 1-year follow-up, the MRADL was found to be a predictor of mortality (OR 0.87 95% CI 0.80–0.94). However, in a multivariate logistic regression analysis this effect was not maintained. (AECOPD) [
      • Habraken J.M.
      • van der Wal W.M.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Weersink E.J.
      • Toben F.
      • Bindels P.J.
      Health-related quality of life and functional status in end-stage COPD: a longitudinal study.
      ].
      Groningen Activities of daily living Restriction Scale (GARS)The GARS measures ADL (personal care) as well as instrumental ADL (domestic activities). The total score has a range of 18–54.

      Higher scores indicate worse daily functioning in all domains.
      At 2-year follow-up, high-severity subgroup based on the GARS had a lower probability of survival (hazard ratio 0.53, 95% CI 0.38–0.75) [
      • De Buyser S.L.
      • Petrovic M.
      • Taes Y.E.
      • Toye K.R.
      • Kaufman J.M.
      • Goemaere S.
      Physical function measurements predict mortality in ambulatory older men.
      ].
      HR, hazard ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; RR, risk ratio; STS, sit to stand; ADL, activities of daily living; 5STS, 5-min sit to stand.

      3.1 Relationship to all cause or COPD mortality

      Six articles examined the relationship of physical function measures or simple measures of muscle strength to mortality [
      • Yohannes A.M.
      • Baldwin R.C.
      • Connolly M.J.
      Connolly, Predictors of 1-year mortality in patients discharged from hospital following acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
      ,
      • Habraken J.M.
      • van der Wal W.M.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Weersink E.J.
      • Toben F.
      • Bindels P.J.
      Health-related quality of life and functional status in end-stage COPD: a longitudinal study.
      ,
      • De Buyser S.L.
      • Petrovic M.
      • Taes Y.E.
      • Toye K.R.
      • Kaufman J.M.
      • Goemaere S.
      Physical function measurements predict mortality in ambulatory older men.
      ,
      • Puhan M.A.
      • Siebeling L.
      • Zoller M.
      • Muggensturm P.
      • ter Riet G.
      Simple functional performance tests and mortality in COPD.
      ,
      • Yohannes A.M.
      • Baldwin R.C.
      • Connolly M.
      Mortality predictors in disabling chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in old age.
      ,
      • Crook S.
      • Frei A.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Puhan M.A.
      Prediction of long-term clinical outcomes using simple functional exercise performance tests in patients with COPD: a 5-year prospective cohort study.
      ]. All articles reported mortality using true observation of all-cause deaths, except one which used probability of survival as the main outcome [
      • Habraken J.M.
      • van der Wal W.M.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Weersink E.J.
      • Toben F.
      • Bindels P.J.
      Health-related quality of life and functional status in end-stage COPD: a longitudinal study.
      ]. Of those, four articles showed some relationship/correlation with mortality.
      Puhan et al. [
      • Puhan M.A.
      • Siebeling L.
      • Zoller M.
      • Muggensturm P.
      • ter Riet G.
      Simple functional performance tests and mortality in COPD.
      ] demonstrated that the 1-min STS test was strongly associated with mortality at two-year follow up (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) per five more repetitions of 0.58, 95% CI 0.40–0.85; P = 0.004) and HGS was moderately associated with mortality (HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.72–1.00; P = 0.04). In addition, the authors showed that, 1-min STS test and HGS were substantially lower at baseline in patients who died compared to those who were alive at two-year follow up (11.8 versus 19.5 repetitions; 30.1 kg versus 36.4 kg, respectively). Crook et al. [
      • Crook S.
      • Frei A.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Puhan M.A.
      Prediction of long-term clinical outcomes using simple functional exercise performance tests in patients with COPD: a 5-year prospective cohort study.
      ] followed up this same cohort for five years. Contrary to the first work, the authors did not observe statistically significantly association between HGS test and mortality. Only the 1-min STS test showed good long-term predictive (5 years) validity for mortality (HR per 3 more repetitions: 0.81, 95% CI 0.65–0.86).
      De Buyser et al. [
      • De Buyser S.L.
      • Petrovic M.
      • Taes Y.E.
      • Toye K.R.
      • Kaufman J.M.
      • Goemaere S.
      Physical function measurements predict mortality in ambulatory older men.
      ] compared the predictive value of different physical function measures (HGS, 5STS and TUG tests) in 352 ambulatory older man. Subjects with COPD performed poorer on the all physical function measures than did healthy subjects. ANCOVA analysis further revealed shorter survival time for subjects with COPD (P = 0.006). Performance on TUG had no influence on survival time in older men with COPD (P = 0.202). The authors posited that the lack of predictive validity of the TUG in subjects with COPD was due to their small sample size.
      Yohannes et al. conducted two prospective cohort studies with individuals suffering from COPD; activities of daily living (ADL) were assessed using the MRADL questionnaire [
      • Yohannes A.M.
      • Baldwin R.C.
      • Connolly M.J.
      Connolly, Predictors of 1-year mortality in patients discharged from hospital following acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
      ,
      • Yohannes A.M.
      • Baldwin R.C.
      • Connolly M.
      Mortality predictors in disabling chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in old age.
      ]. The first study found that MRADL was a good predictor of mortality at 2.5 year follow up (Odds ratio (OR) 0.88, 95% CI 0.80–0.97). The second study included patients who had been hospitalized with an acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD). At 1-year follow-up, the MRADL was found to be a predictor of mortality in the study population (OR 0.87, 95% CI 0.80–0.94; univariate logistic regression analysis). However, in a multivariate logistic regression analysis this effect was not maintained.
      Habraken et al. [
      • Habraken J.M.
      • van der Wal W.M.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Weersink E.J.
      • Toben F.
      • Bindels P.J.
      Health-related quality of life and functional status in end-stage COPD: a longitudinal study.
      ] measured ADL using the GARS questionnaire in 82 COPD patients. The authors stratified the study population into severity subgroups according to the lowest, intermediate and highest tertile of the questionnaire. Higher scores indicated worse daily functioning in all domains. After 2 years follow up, the scores on the GARS declined gradually over time in the majority of patients. Patients in the high-severity subgroup had a lower probability of survival (hazard ratio 0.53, 95% CI 0.38–0.75) compared to low severity subgroup (hazard ratio 0.70, 95% CI 0.55–0.90) at the same time point.

      3.2 Relationship to COPD exacerbation

      Three articles examined the relationship of simple physical function or muscle strength measures to exacerbation. Puhan et al. [
      • Puhan M.A.
      • Siebeling L.
      • Zoller M.
      • Muggensturm P.
      • ter Riet G.
      Simple functional performance tests and mortality in COPD.
      ] and Crook et al. [
      • Crook S.
      • Frei A.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Puhan M.A.
      Prediction of long-term clinical outcomes using simple functional exercise performance tests in patients with COPD: a 5-year prospective cohort study.
      ] assessed in their studies the predictive performance of the 1-min STS and HGS tests for exacerbations at 2-year and 5-year follow up respectively but did not find any relationship to exacerbation [
      • Puhan M.A.
      • Siebeling L.
      • Zoller M.
      • Muggensturm P.
      • ter Riet G.
      Simple functional performance tests and mortality in COPD.
      ,
      • Crook S.
      • Frei A.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Puhan M.A.
      Prediction of long-term clinical outcomes using simple functional exercise performance tests in patients with COPD: a 5-year prospective cohort study.
      ]. Martinez et al. [
      • Martinez C.H.
      • Diaz A.A.
      • Meldrum C.A.
      • McDonald M.N.
      • Murray S.
      • Kinney G.L.
      • et al.
      COPDGene investigators. Handgrip strength in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Associations with acute exacerbations and body composition.
      ] in a cross-sectional analysis of a cohort study, (n = 272) demonstrated that HGS test was associated with exacerbation risk, an increment of 5% in the risk of exacerbations for each 1-kg decrement in HGS test (risk ratio 1.05; 95% CI, 1.01–1.08). Even in their longitudinal analysis and after statistical adjustments, each additional kilogram decrement in HGS test was associated with higher relative risks of having any incident event during follow-up (mean 2.6 years) (risk ratio, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.01–1.07).

      3.3 Relationship with COPD-related hospitalizations

      One study [
      • Martinez C.H.
      • Diaz A.A.
      • Meldrum C.A.
      • McDonald M.N.
      • Murray S.
      • Kinney G.L.
      • et al.
      COPDGene investigators. Handgrip strength in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Associations with acute exacerbations and body composition.
      ] examined the relationship of our measures of interest to hospitalization (due to acute respiratory events). Martinez et al. [
      • Martinez C.H.
      • Diaz A.A.
      • Meldrum C.A.
      • McDonald M.N.
      • Murray S.
      • Kinney G.L.
      • et al.
      COPDGene investigators. Handgrip strength in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Associations with acute exacerbations and body composition.
      ] found that the risk for severe events (emergency room visits or hospital admissions) during follow-up period (mean 2.6 years) was higher per 1-kg decrement in HGS test (relative risk, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.01–1.12).

      4. Discussion

      This is the first study that has systematically reviewed information on the predictive validity of simple measures of physical function and muscle strength in relation to outcomes such as mortality, exacerbations and hospitalizations in patients with COPD. Few studies have examined the predictive validity of this type of tests. From the seven studies included in the review, six evaluated the relationship of these measures to mortality; three studies examined this relationship with exacerbations and only one study included the outcome hospitalization. Among the included studies, four used performance-based tests (the most common being the HGS test and 1-min STS) and three used self-reported questionnaires (the MRADL and GARS). The majority of the studies were classified as having “fair” or “poor” methodological quality.
      Of the six studies that evaluated the relationship of our tests of interest to mortality, four of them showed that some of these tests are associated with either true observation of death or probability of survival. The tests included in these studies were the 1-min STS, 5STS, TUG, HGS tests and two self-reported questionnaires, the MRADL and GARS. The MRADL and GARS are self-reported questionnaires that evaluate the ability to perform ADL. Limitations in ADL (or disability) have been shown to be a predictor of mortality in different populations [
      • Dunlay S.M.
      • Manemann S.M.
      • Chamberlain A.M.
      • Cheville A.L.
      • Jiang R.
      • Weston S.A.
      • et al.
      Activities of daily living and outcomes in heart failure.
      ,
      • Ramos L.R.
      • Simoes E.J.
      • Albert M.S.
      Dependence in activities of daily living and cognitive impairment strongly predicted mortality in older urban residents in Brazil: a 2-year follow-up.
      ,
      • Brummel N.E.
      • Bell S.P.
      • Girard T.D.
      • Pandharipande P.P.
      • Jackson J.C.
      • Morandi A.
      • et al.
      Frailty and subsequent disability and mortality among patients with critical illness.
      ]. The MRADL and GARS questionnaires are easy and quick to be completed and could be used in any setting for prognostic purposes. However, the type of patients to which the questionnaires should be administered should be taken into consideration. Yohannes et al. published two studies examining the MRDAL questionnaire as a mortality predictor in two different populations and found contradictory results. The first study published in 2002 included outpatients with stable COPD and the authors demonstrated that the MRADL was a significant predictor of mortality in that population [
      • Yohannes A.M.
      • Baldwin R.C.
      • Connolly M.
      Mortality predictors in disabling chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in old age.
      ]. The following study (2005) included patients after AECOPD and found that, on the multivariate analysis, MRADL was not a predictor of mortality [
      • Yohannes A.M.
      • Baldwin R.C.
      • Connolly M.J.
      Connolly, Predictors of 1-year mortality in patients discharged from hospital following acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
      ]. One of the main reasons for this divergent result may be that the disease severity as well as the management of these different populations influence their pattern of recovery and functional responses. Moreover, the studies that considered MRADL [
      • Yohannes A.M.
      • Baldwin R.C.
      • Connolly M.J.
      Connolly, Predictors of 1-year mortality in patients discharged from hospital following acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
      ,
      • Yohannes A.M.
      • Baldwin R.C.
      • Connolly M.
      Mortality predictors in disabling chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in old age.
      ] and GARS [
      • Habraken J.M.
      • van der Wal W.M.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Weersink E.J.
      • Toben F.
      • Bindels P.J.
      Health-related quality of life and functional status in end-stage COPD: a longitudinal study.
      ] included older patients (age ≥ 60 years) with GOLD (Global initiative for chronic obstructive lung disease) stage 4, thus the predictive validity of these questionnaires in younger patients who are at earlier stages of the disease is unknown.
      The 1-min STS and HGS were shown, in two and three studies, respectively, to be strongly associated with mortality (average follow-up of 2 years) [
      • Puhan M.A.
      • Siebeling L.
      • Zoller M.
      • Muggensturm P.
      • ter Riet G.
      Simple functional performance tests and mortality in COPD.
      ]. However, Crook et al. [
      • Crook S.
      • Frei A.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Puhan M.A.
      Prediction of long-term clinical outcomes using simple functional exercise performance tests in patients with COPD: a 5-year prospective cohort study.
      ] followed a population for 5 years and demonstrated that only the 1-min STS test showed long-term predictive validity (5 years). The authors attributed the greater long-term predictive validity of the 1-min STS in relation to the HGS to the fact that the 1-min STS is more physically demanding (involves larger muscle groups) and thus more likely to estimate functional exercise performance which may reflect the patients’ overall health status.
      The performance of the HGS in predicting exacerbations seems to be conflicting. Martinez et al. [
      • Martinez C.H.
      • Diaz A.A.
      • Meldrum C.A.
      • McDonald M.N.
      • Murray S.
      • Kinney G.L.
      • et al.
      COPDGene investigators. Handgrip strength in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Associations with acute exacerbations and body composition.
      ] in a cross-sectional analysis of a cohort study (n= 272) demonstrated that HGS test was associated with exacerbation risk but Puhan et al. [
      • Puhan M.A.
      • Siebeling L.
      • Zoller M.
      • Muggensturm P.
      • ter Riet G.
      Simple functional performance tests and mortality in COPD.
      ] and Crook et al. [
      • Crook S.
      • Frei A.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Puhan M.A.
      Prediction of long-term clinical outcomes using simple functional exercise performance tests in patients with COPD: a 5-year prospective cohort study.
      ] showed that the HGS test did not predict the incidence of exacerbations (period of follow up: 2 and 5 years, respectively). The authors [
      • Puhan M.A.
      • Siebeling L.
      • Zoller M.
      • Muggensturm P.
      • ter Riet G.
      Simple functional performance tests and mortality in COPD.
      ,
      • Crook S.
      • Frei A.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Puhan M.A.
      Prediction of long-term clinical outcomes using simple functional exercise performance tests in patients with COPD: a 5-year prospective cohort study.
      ] attributed the lack of association in their studies to the small number of exacerbations that occurred during the study periods, probably because of the COPD severity (the majority of the patients in their cohort were GOLD stage 2). Moreover, the results of Martinez's study might have been overestimated since they recruited patients from a specialized outpatient clinic and relied on patients to report whether or not they had an exacerbation (while in Puhan's cohort, occurrence of exacerbation had to be medically confirmed and they recruited patients from primary care centres). In addition, Puhan's model of events during follow-up were adjusted for exacerbation history at enrollment.
      Despite the conflicting results of the predictive validity of the HGS test in relation to exacerbation, there is strong data on its predictive validity in term of mortality and hospitalization and could be a great test to use for prognostication in many clinical settings. The HGS test requires an inexpensive hand-held dynamometer (approximately US$ 300; one time investment), is simple to perform by individuals of any age and a good option for patients who may not be able to conduct tests where walking or standing is required [
      • Crook S.
      • Frei A.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Puhan M.A.
      Prediction of long-term clinical outcomes using simple functional exercise performance tests in patients with COPD: a 5-year prospective cohort study.
      ]. In addition, there are normative values [
      • Spruit M.A.
      • Sillen M.J.
      • Groenen M.T.
      • Wouters E.F.
      • Franssen F.M.
      New normative values for handgrip strength: results from the UK Biobank.
      ,
      • Wong S.L.
      Grip strength reference values for Canadians aged 6 to 79: Canadian Health Measures Survey, 2007 to 2013.
      ,
      • Wang Y.C.
      • Bohannon R.W.
      • Li X.
      • Sindhu B.
      • Kapellusch J.
      Hand-grip strength: normative reference values and equations for individuals 18 to 85 Years of age residing in the United States.
      ] available to guide clinicians’ decision on the best treatment options based on the test results. The 1-min STS test [
      • Strassmann A.
      • Steurer-Stey C.
      • Lana K.D.
      • Zoller M.
      • Turk A.J.
      • Suter P.
      • et al.
      Population-based reference values for the 1-min sit-to-stand test.
      ] is also a good option since it has been shown to be a strong predictor of mortality in patients with COPD [
      • Puhan M.A.
      • Siebeling L.
      • Zoller M.
      • Muggensturm P.
      • ter Riet G.
      Simple functional performance tests and mortality in COPD.
      ], has excellent long-term predictive validity [
      • Crook S.
      • Frei A.
      • Ter Riet G.
      • Puhan M.A.
      Prediction of long-term clinical outcomes using simple functional exercise performance tests in patients with COPD: a 5-year prospective cohort study.
      ], is responsive to pulmonary rehabilitation [
      • Vaidya T.
      • de Bisschop C.
      • Beaumont M.
      • Ouksel H.
      • Jean V.
      • Dessables F.
      • et al.
      Is the 1-minute sit-to-stand test a good tool for the evaluation of the impact of pulmonary rehabilitation? Determination of the minimal important difference in COPD.
      ], does not require any specific equipment and has normative data available based on age and gender [
      • Strassmann A.
      • Steurer-Stey C.
      • Lana K.D.
      • Zoller M.
      • Turk A.J.
      • Suter P.
      • et al.
      Population-based reference values for the 1-min sit-to-stand test.
      ]. The disadvantage of the 1-min STS is that it may be difficult for patients with musculoskeletal or neurological conditions to perform. It also seems to have a floor effect (older or too debilitated patients may not be able to complete the test) [
      • Strassmann A.
      • Steurer-Stey C.
      • Lana K.D.
      • Zoller M.
      • Turk A.J.
      • Suter P.
      • et al.
      Population-based reference values for the 1-min sit-to-stand test.
      ] and there is limited evidence for its association with exacerbation and hospitalization in individuals with COPD. It is important to note that even though the HGS and 1-min STS tests seem to be promising tests to be used for prognosis purposes in patients with COPD, the data available are based on 3 and 2 studies, respectively.
      The strength of this review is that it compiles, in a systematic manner, information on the predictive validity of simple measures of physical function and muscle strength in relation to exacerbation, hospitalization and mortality in individuals with COPD. Previous reviews had focused on the clinical value and psychometric properties of these tests [
      • Bui K.L.
      • Nyberg A.
      • Maltais F.
      • Saey D.
      Functional tests in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, Part 1: clinical relevance and links to the international classification of functioning, disability, and health.
      ,
      • Bui K.L.
      • Nyberg A.
      • Maltais F.
      • Saey D.
      Functional tests in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, Part 2: measurement properties.
      ,
      • Bisca G.W.
      • Morita A.A.
      • Hernandes N.A.
      • Probst V.S.
      • Pitta F.
      Simple lower limb functional tests in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a systematic review.
      ] but to the best of our knowledge, no review had compiled information on the prognostic value of these tests.
      Our systematic review has some limitations. First, the main challenge was that the primary objective of the included studies was not necessarily related to the primary objective of our systematic review which made data extraction difficult. Other limitations were the high diversity of methodologies (patient characteristics, exposures, type of tests used and outcome measures) of the included studies which made it difficult for the authors to conduct a meta-analysis. Finally, the majority of the studies in this review (n = 4) were classified as having a “fair” or “poor” quality assessment according the Downs & Black checklist. The items that received low scores were related to external/internal validity and study's power demonstrating the low methodological quality of the included studies.

      5. Conclusions

      There is a limited number of studies examining the prognostic value of simple measures of physical function and muscle strength in relation to exacerbations, hospitalizations and mortality in individuals with COPD. To date, the HGS and 1-min STS tests are the most studied tests and seem to be suitable for prognosis purposes in individuals with COPD. However, more studies with better methodological quality are needed to confirm these findings. It remains unclear whether improvements in these physical function measures can translate into improvement in patient prognosis. Further studies addressing the short-term predictive validity of these tests (e.g. 30-day readmission to hospital) are also needed.

      Financial support

      None.

      Author's contributions

      WA and TJF conducted titles and abstracts review. DM and WA screened and accessed the data. All authors made substantial contributions to the interpretation of the data. DM and TJF wrote the paper. WA, VPL and JB critically revised the manuscript for important intellectual content. All authors approved the final version to be submitted for publication.

      Declaration of competing interest

      The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

      Acknowledgments

      The authors would like to thank the research associate Dr Catherine Tansey for helping with the quality assessment of the studies.

      List of abbreviations

      COPD
      Chronic Obstructive Disease
      6MWT
      Six-minute walk test
      ICF
      International Classification of functioning, Disability and Health
      HGS
      Handgrip strength test
      STS
      sit-to-stand
      5STS
      Five repetitions sit-to-stand
      TUG
      Time Up and Go
      1-min STS
      1-min sit-to-stand
      GARS
      Groningen activities for daily living restriction scale
      MRADL
      Manchester respiratory activities of daily living questionnaire
      ADL
      Activities of daily living
      AECOPD
      Acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary
      GOLD
      Global Initiative for chronic obstructive lung disease

      Appendix A. Electronic search strategy

      Tabled 1
      Terms UsedVariations of Terms to use when searching
      Physical Function Measures
      • Performance Based Tests
      • Exercise Test/OR ((exercise* or physical activit* or performance or step* or stand* or walk* or strength* or function* or balance or grip or handgrip or sit or lift* or gait or stair or rise) adj3 (test* or measure* or score* or status or assess* or evaluat* or batter* or scale or subscale)).tw,kf.
      • Self-Reported Measures
      • exp Activities of Daily Living/or ((activit* adj2 (daily living or limit*)) or ADL or ADLs).tw,kf.
      AND
      • exp “Surveys and Questionnaires"/or (assess* or tool* or evaluat* or test* or scale* or subscale* or score* or inventor* or questionnaire* or measure*).tw,kf.
      • (self-report* or PFP or PPT or “PFP-10″ or SPPB or “SF-36″).tw,kf.
      Hospitalization/Mortality/Exacerbation
      • exp Mortality/or Prognosis/or exp disease progression/
      • exp Hospitalization/
      • (hospitali* or ((length or hospital) adj2 stay*) or admission* or admit* or readmission* or readmit* or discharge*).tw,kf.
      • (mortalit* or fatalit* or death* or progress* or exacerbat* or prognos* or deterioration).tw,kf.
      COPD
      • exp Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/
      • Lung Diseases, Obstructive/
      • exp Pulmonary Emphysema/
      • (obstructive adj2 (pulmonary or lung$ or respirat$ or air$)).tw,kf.
      • (chronic air$ adj2 (obstruction$ or limitation$ or occlusion$)).tw,kf.
      • (chronic bronch$ adj2 (obstruction$ or limitation$ or occlusion$)).tw,kf.
      • (chronic$ adj2 bronch$).tw,kf.
      • COPD.tw,kf.
      • COAD.tw,kf.
      • emphysema$.tw,kf.
      • (acos and asthm*).tw,kf.

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